Bitcoin Billionaire Arthur Hayes Blames Crypto Plunge on 'Contraction in Dollar Liquidity'

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, attributes Bitcoin's recent decline to a contraction in U.S. dollar liquidity rather than reduced institutional interest. He argues that Bitcoin has been supported this year by hedge funds engaging in basis trades with Bitcoin ETFs, notably BlackRock's IBIT. While Bitcoin recently fell into the low $90,000s, Hayes believes further declines could hit the low $80,000s before the price surges to between $200,000 and $250,000, contingent on government measures to increase the money supply during a predicted stock market correction. Hayes explains that most major holders of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF are hedge funds using it as part of basis trading strategies rather than holding Bitcoin long-term. The outlook for Bitcoin worsens as historic outflows from ETFs contribute to a cycle of selling initiated by retail investors who misinterpret institutional activities. The article notes a considerable decrease in ETF inflows alongside recent wallet movements from Mt. Gox.

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