Bitcoin derivatives scream ‘caution’ despite a week of strong BTC ETF inflows
Despite significant inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the derivatives market shows a lack of confidence among traders. Bitcoin's price has struggled to regain upward momentum, hovering around $117,000 after peaking at $126,219. The 60-day futures annualized premium is just 7%, indicating limited demand for long positions despite a recent rally. Adding to market concerns, gold has surged to record highs, reflecting investor fears amidst US-China trade tensions which have prompted a sell-off in broader markets. The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 remains strong at 73%, indicating that sentiment in the crypto market is heavily influenced by trends in traditional equities. Furthermore, recent Bitcoin options data show increased caution among traders regarding potential downside risks. Even with impressive net inflows of $5 billion in October, macroeconomic risks persist, leaving traders hesitant and the market vulnerable to further price declines.
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