Bitcoin’s Fair Value Is $170K, JPMorgan Argues in Gold-Based Model

JPMorgan analysts forecast that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $170,000 within the next six to twelve months, drawing on its historical valuation compared to gold. In a recent note, strategists indicated that the recent downturn in cryptocurrency markets, attributed mainly to liquidations in perpetual futures, has stabilized, suggesting that the worst is over. They assert that Bitcoin is currently undervalued relative to gold, with expectations of significant price appreciation ahead. With Bitcoin trading at approximately $102,000, their model posits that it should represent two-thirds of gold's $6.2 trillion private investment base, implying a substantial rise in Bitcoin’s market cap. This positions Bitcoin as a potential hedge amid increasing gold volatility, particularly as retail investor sentiment shifts. Despite fears regarding tightened banking liquidity, JPMorgan maintains that broader non-bank liquidity remains supportive of risk assets such as Bitcoin and equities.

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