Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts 50% Q4 rally to $170K

Bitcoin is projected to close September with a 4.50% gain, defying historical trends and suggesting the potential for significant rallies in Q4. Previous instances of a positive September have led to average Q4 returns of over 53%. The data indicates that October often acts as the launching point for these gains, often extending into November and December. Bitcoin's price, currently around $113,100, could see valuations reaching $170,000 by year-end if similar patterns recur, supported by recent onchain indicators signaling increased buying pressure from U.S. investors. Timothy Peterson, a Bitcoin network economist, suggests there is a 50% chance Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by mid-2026, attributing this to recurring bull phases post-October. The market appears to be preparing for a strong finish, as onchain metrics and demand from investors align favorably for potential price increases.

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