Bitcoin's Seasonality: ‘Uptober’ Disappointed; ‘Moonvember’ Hype Starts Building Up
Recent analysis indicates that November may be Bitcoin's strongest month, with an eye-catching average gain of 42.5% since 2013, although this number is skewed by a remarkable 449% spike in 2013. The median return for November is a more modest 9%, suggesting significant variation in performance across the years, including both gains and losses. October 2025 notably did not deliver the anticipated 'Uptober' rally, closing 8.5% lower, ending a six-year streak of upward movement in October. Crypto analyst Lark Davis emphasizes that despite the favorable historical average for November, traders should be cautious, using seasonal trends as context rather than as definitive trading signals. The terms 'Uptober' and 'Moonvember' have become popular among traders and social media circles, serving as rallying cries for anticipated price increases. However, experts advise that traders wait for confirmation of upward momentum before acting on these seasonal patterns, focusing on a blend of data rather than relying solely on historical averages.
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