Citizens Starts Circle Coverage With Market Perform Rating on Stablecoin Growth, Valuation

Citizens has initiated coverage of Circle Internet (CRCL) with a market perform rating, highlighting the company's potential to benefit from increasing stablecoin adoption. Analysts note that Circle's current valuation reflects much of the anticipated growth in the sector, with projections indicating that the stablecoin market could expand from $300 billion today to $3 trillion by 2030, driven by favorable regulations like the U.S. GENIUS Act and Europe’s MiCA. Circle, the issuer of USDC—the second-largest stablecoin—has developed a robust infrastructure suite including a payments network and programmable wallets. Despite rapid USDC growth, the stock trades at high multiples, suggesting limited upside unless adoption accelerates. Key factors to monitor include USDC's growth, margins, fee revenue, and new payment corridors, while also considering risks from competition and regulation.

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