Friday charts: The bull case for bubbles
Byrne Hobart argues that while investing bubbles can lead to financial ruin, they also catalyze technological progress by aligning financial speculation with innovation. Recently, the market has been enamored with AI, evidenced by Nvidia becoming the first $5 trillion company and major players like Microsoft and Amazon making significant investments into AI infrastructure. Hobart points out that the current market enthusiasm resembles historic bubbles that fostered significant advancements, such as railroads and the internet. However, the current bubble has sparked innovation in semiconductor technology, as startups like Substrate develop groundbreaking methods to manufacture chips, promising efficient production and disruption of industry giants like TSMC and ASML. Despite concerns of a bubble, the focus on AI could yield revolutionary outcomes for society, including cheaper semiconductors and energy efficiency. The concentration of investments and unprecedented growth rates of tech companies reflect a potential bubble that, if harnessed correctly, could lead to substantial societal benefits.
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