Strategy (MSTR) News: Analyst Turns Bullish on Potential S&P 500 Inclusion

Michael Saylor's Strategy (MSTR) has experienced a dramatic decline of 40% since July, resulting in a loss of nearly $18 billion in market value. However, analyst Markus Thielen from 10x Research believes a rebound may be imminent, especially with the company expected to announce a quarterly profit of approximately $3.6 billion from bitcoin mark-to-market gains. This could reignite speculation about MSTR’s potential inclusion in the S&P 500 index, which Thielen estimates could attract $28 billion in buying pressure. He now assigns a 60–70% probability to this possibility. Thielen notes that the stock has fallen to lows of below $280, and removing the NAV premium could render it more attractive than bitcoin itself. The upcoming earnings report may serve as a pivotal moment to restore positive sentiment and investor interest, potentially reversing the bearish trend and leading to significant price increases, similar to other stocks that recently joined the index.

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